【摘要】 根据气旋爆发性发展的天气气候特征，综合分析地面图上东亚大陆冷高压、５００ｈＰａ东亚大槽和云系发展模型等对爆发性气旋的贡献，结合数值预报产品，判断有无气旋作爆发性发展．这种综合预报方法为船舶实现气旋爆发性发展的短期预报提供了可能性．更多还原

【Abstract】 ccording to synopic climatological Characteristics of the cyclone that is explosively developing, in this paper the contributions of cold high of EastAsian continent in the surface, EastAsian trough of 500hPa and developing pattern of cloud photograph to explosive cyclone have been synthetically analysed. By means of comparison with the result of numerical weather forecast, a decisionwhether extratropic cyclone will explosively develop or notis made. This comprehensive method provides the possibility of making short term forecast of explosive cyclone on a ship.更多还原