【摘要】 水体环境是一个充满不确定性因素的系统,传统的随机数学、模糊数学和灰色系统三大不确定性方法已普遍应用于水质模拟、评价、预测和规划的各个方面,但各有侧重,不确定性的新方法新技术也在水环境中展开探索。展望未来,传统方法的对比和耦合研究、新理论新方法的普遍应用将成为未来水环境不确定性研究的热点。更多还原

【Abstract】 The Water environment is a system with many uncertainties.The stochastic model, fuzzy method and gray system that are three conventional methods have been used in model- ing assessment,predicting and planning of water quality.Different methods are employed different scopes of the water environment.Some new methods and techniques are applied to study uncertainties in the water environment recently.Making prospect,coupling among conventional methods and wide application of novel theories and methods such as nonlinear science methods will be prevailing on researches of uncertainty in the water environment.更多还原