【摘要】 文中对前人关于水温垂直结构计算、模拟和预报研究成果进行了评价，并在此基础上建立了考虑海面吸收辐射和透射辐射、地形、风、海流、界面摩擦及其引起的混合作用的强温跃层三维数值预报模式。该模式运行的驱动量仅为风和气温场资料，因而具有较好的实用性；此外，从试报的结果看，效果是令人满意的。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper, the predecessors’ researchs into numerical prediction models about vertical sea temperature structure calculation are reviewed and assessed, whereby a three-dimensional numerical prediction model of a strong thermocline is established by taking into consideration of the absorbed and transmissive radiations at the sea surface, topography, current speed, wind Stress, bottom friction and their mixed functions. As the driven elements of the model are only wind and air temperature, the model has a fairly good practicality, and the results of trial prediction are satisfactory.更多还原