【摘要】 在分析河西近４０年水土资源开发利用和生产力发展过程的基础上，探讨了资源利用趋势与开发潜力。水土利用现已接近资源的极限，畜牧业的发展具有超载增长的特征，逐步缓解水土矛盾、畜草矛盾、人田矛盾将是本世纪末至下世纪初的艰巨任务，资源利用率的提高决定着未来的发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the Hexi region,there are water resources 80.94 ×10￣8m￣3,land area 27.01×10￣6 ha.Limited by water resources,suitable farming land only makes up 10.93%of the land area,suitableforestry land 4.19%。Following resource exploitation in the past forty years,the pace of agriculturaldevelopment has begun to slow down with increasing intensification of contradictions amongpopulation,resources and environment.As far as coming development,it is necessary to raise thewateruse efficiency,r,coordinate the structure of resource use and ensure the balance management ofbasin resOurce systems. The areas of oasis,forestry and irrigation will respectively increase by25.37%,65.19%and 30.12%on the basis of rational resource development in 2020.更多还原