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加卸载响应比理论及其在地震预报中的应用进展

THE LOAD-UNLOADING RESPONSE RATIO (LURR) THEORY AND ITS APPLICATION IN SHORT-TERM AND IMMINENT EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

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【作者】 宋治平陈学忠尹祥础马丽

【Author】 Song Zhiping Yin Xiangchu Chen Xuezhong Ma Li (Institute of Geophysics, SSB, Beijing 100081, China)(Center for Analysis and Prediction, SSB, Beijing 100036, China)

【机构】 国家地震局地球物理研究所国家地震局分析预报中心国家地震局分析预报中心 中国北京100081中国北京100081中国北京100036

【摘要】 从理论、实验、震例检验、地震前的预测等方面总结了加卸载响应比取得的进展,同时介绍了地下水、体应变、CodaQ-1等地球物理参数作响应的加卸载响应比的研究成果,讨论了运用Y的时空演变对地震三要素的预测潜力及Y的概率意义。

【Abstract】 In this paper, the development of Loading-unloading response ratio ( LURR) theory is summarized from the aspects of theoretical fundation, test study, examination of earthquake cases, prediction practice and so on. As the research results of LURR, some geophysical parameter, such as underground water, body-strain and Coda Q-1, are introduced. At last authors have discussed the three elements of earthquake prediction based on spatial-temporal evolution of LURR and probability significance of Loading-Unloading Response Ratio.

  • 【分类号】P315.7
  • 【被引频次】9
  • 【下载频次】99
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