节点文献
控制镇江月平均气温变化的动力系统的重建及其预报应用
THE RECONSTRUCTION AND APPLICATION OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEM IN CONTROLLING MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE CHANGE IN ZHENGJIANG CITY
【摘要】 本文运用镇江月平均气温一维时间序列作相空间拓展,和假定相空间状态变量随时间的演化方程含有线性项和二次非线性项,利用最小二乘法求解各项系数,保留其大差贡献较大的项,重建动力系统.并用镇江月平均气温实测值作检验.结果表明,重建的动力方程对月平均气温的演变能作出较好的描写.
【Abstract】 A dynamical system for monthly average temperature in Zhengjiang city Jiangsu Prorince, was reconstructed by means the extension of Phase space and the evolation equation of phase space transformation. The reconstructed dynamical equation can be satisfactorily used to describe the evolutional trenrd of monthly average temperature
【关键词】 月平均气温;
动务系统;
预报试验;
【Key words】 monthly average temperature; dynamical system; forecasting trial;
【Key words】 monthly average temperature; dynamical system; forecasting trial;
- 【文献出处】 气象科学 ,Scientia Meteorologica Sinica , 编辑部邮箱 ,1994年03期
- 【分类号】P423
- 【被引频次】1
- 【下载频次】50