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青岛气温变化趋势及其预测

THE VARIATION TREND OF MEAN TEMPERATURE IN QINGDAO AND ITS PROGNOSIS

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【作者】 方修佩郭可彩胡基福

【Author】 Fang Xiupei; Guo Kecai (Qingdao Marine Forecasting Observatory)Hu Jifu(Ocean University of Qingdao)

【机构】 青岛海洋预报台青岛海洋大学

【摘要】 根据青岛月平均气温资料(1898-1992年),研究了95年来青岛年与季气温变化趋势。指出95年来青岛年与季平均气温变化是上升的。其中春季增温最显著,冬季次之,秋夏增温最小。同时,根据年温度的变化趋势确定了气候转换期;1904—1929年为变冷期;1925—1953年为变暖期;1954-1979年为变冷期;1980年以后又是变暖期,预测该期的最暖时间将出现在90年代初期。

【Abstract】 The variations of annual and seasonal mean temperatures over the last 95 years are studied based on the temperature data (1898-1992) in Qingdao. It is shown that the annual and the seasonal mean temperature increased in Qingdao during the last 95 years. It is found that the most obvions warming occurs in spring and the secondary warming occurs in winter. But the slight warming occurs in autumn and summer. Also the climate transition periods are determined according to the variation trend of annual mean temperature to be as follows: 1904-1928 (cooling period); 1929-1953 (warming period); 1954-1979 (cooling period). It has been warming period since 1980 and the most obyious warming time will occur in the early 1990’s.

【关键词】 平均气温变化趋势青岛
【Key words】 mean temperaturevariation trendQingdao
  • 【文献出处】 海洋湖沼通报 ,Transaction of Oceanology and Limnology , 编辑部邮箱 ,1994年02期
  • 【分类号】P732.4
  • 【被引频次】3
  • 【下载频次】147
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