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青藏高原地区FGGEⅢb资料相对湿度场的分析与订正及其对预报影响的数值试验
ANALYSIS AND CORRECTIONS OF FGGE LEVEL Ⅲb RELATIVE HUMIDITY FIELD AND NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS FOR THEIR EFFECTS ON FORECASTS OVER THE QINGHAI- XIZANG PLATEAU
【摘要】 本文用Cresman逐步订正法和青藏高原气象科学实验资料对高原地区1979年6—8月中60个时次的FGGEⅢb级资料相对湿度场进行了订正和分析,然后利用一有限区域数值模式,选择两例高原低涡过程,用订正前后的FGGEⅢb相对湿度资料分别作初始湿度场进行了72h和48h预报试验。结果表明:高原地区相对湿度的高值区位于其东南部,然后向西北逐渐递减,低值区位于高原西部。FGGEⅢb相对湿度场能较好地反映高原东部的分布,但在高原西部比实际明显偏大。订正高原上的初始湿度场(FGGEⅢb相对湿度场)能明显改进高原地区的降水和形势预报,对环流的影响可达到高原东侧并波及高原的南北侧地区,显示了加密高原西部资料的重要性。
【Abstract】 In the paper, sixty times relative humidity fields of FGGE level Ⅲb data over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau were analysed and corrected by using of the observed data during QXPMEX and Cressman’s successive correction method. Then two cases of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau vortices were chosen and their 72 h or 48 h forecasting experiments were performed by utilizing a limited numerical model, incorrected and corrected FGGE level Ⅲb relative humidity data as the model initial fields. The results show that relative humudity has a high value,it is located over the south-east area of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,then it moves successively northward and the minimum is located over the western Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. FGGE level Ⅲb data give a rather real distribution of relative humidity over the eastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, but the relative humidity values were overestimated over the western Qinghai-Xizang Plateau; the pattern and precipitation forecasted over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau can obviously be improved and even predicted circulations can be influenced to the east, north and south flank of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau by correcting the model initial relative humidity field (that of FGGE level Ⅲb data), which indicates the importance of intensive observational data over the western Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.
- 【文献出处】 高原气象 ,PLATEAU METEOROLOGY , 编辑部邮箱 ,1994年04期
- 【分类号】P426.1
- 【被引频次】7
- 【下载频次】95