【摘要】 盆地模拟是近年来在盆地分析领域中迅速发展着的一项仿真技术,本文客观地分析了盆地模拟技术的现状和缺陷,指出了改进的途径,即引入盆地系统的概念,应用系统论(包括耗散结构理论)、信息论和控制论(包括灰色系统控制论)的原则与方法,具体地对模拟对象进行系统分析,建立合乎实际的各种地质作用的概念模型;根据选择论的基本原理,将确定性数学模型和随机性数学模型有机地结合起来,并且在处理模糊现象和灰色系统时尽量采用模糊数学模型和灰色数学模型。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the analysis of current development and shortcomings of basin modelling, the authors put forward some new approaches to improve the basin modelling: (1) Introducing the concept of basin system and the systematology including dissipative structural theory, infor-matice and cybernetics (including grey system cybernetics); (2) making a system analysis on the modelling targets to establish various geological concept models in agreement with real geological processes; (3) combining determinate mathematical models with stochastic mathematical models on the basic principles of select theory, and empolying fuzzy and grey mathematical models while processing fuzzy phenomena and grey systems.更多还原