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利用FUZZY模型综合评判柑桔溃疡病始见期

A SYNTHETIC ASSESSMENT OF BEGINNING OCCURRENCE STAGE OF CITRUS CANKER WITH FUZZY MODEL

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【作者】 周志军陈介眉唐春生谌源溪陈仲明宋姣珍董北屏

【Author】 Zhou Zhijun~1 Chen jiemei~1 Tang Chunsheng~2 Chen Yuanxi Chen Zhongming~1 Song Jiaozhen~1 Dong Beibing~1(1 Agricultural Bureau of Hengdong County, Hengdong, Hunan, 421400) (2 Agricultural Bureau of Hengyang City, Hengyang, Hunan, 42100)

【机构】 衡东县农业局衡阳市农业局衡东县农业局 湖南衡东 421400湖南衡东 421400湖南衡阳 421000湖南衡东 421400

【摘要】 根据1984~1990年系统观察的资料,利用甜橙新梢萌芽(始花)的时期及定期内已经出现的有关天气实况,经Fuzzy模型综合评判,1991年春梢及幼果的柑桔溃疡病斑始见期预测准确,历史回验,符合率100%.

【Abstract】 The Fuzzy model was set up on the basis of the tip sprout stage of sweet orange and the climate in regular period. The data were obtained by systemetic survey during 1984~1990. This model was used to predict the beginning occurrence stage of citrus canker on spring tip and young fruit in 1991. It showed that the historical coincidence was one hundred percent.

  • 【分类号】S 436.661.12
  • 【被引频次】3
  • 【下载频次】9
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