【摘要】 本文以厦门石湖山软土地基变形预测为例,介绍用灰色系统理论对观测数据进行计算机模拟,建立该地基变形的GM(1,1)预测模型。并用该理论对模型进行检验和可信度分析,证明此法预测地基变形精度很高。此外,GM(1,1)模型可在计算地基的固结度、主固结时间等方面的应用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Computerized simulation of observational data by grey system theory is presented in this paper by taking the prediction of soft soil ground deformation of Shihushan in Xiamen city as an example and GM(1,1) prediction model of the said ground deformation is established. The verification and analysis of credibility of the model are conducted with that theory, which evidenced that the prediction of ground deformation by this technique was in high accuracy. Moreover, the GM(1,1)model can be adopted for the calculation of degree of consolidation and time of consolidation of ground.更多还原