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用多元逐步回归分析法预测离退休心理适应期

Prediction of Psychological Adaptive Period Affer Retiring by Stepwise Multivariate Regression Analysis

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【作者】 梁玉涛程琮刘修堂

【Author】 Liang Yutao Ta(?)’an Institute of Medical Scientific Research Information, Tai, an 271000

【机构】 山东省泰安市医学科研情报所山东省泰安市医学科研情报所 泰安 271000泰安 271000

【摘要】 本文借助Apple-Ⅱ计算机,用多元逐步回归分析的方法,对107例男性离退休人员离退休前的12个心理社会因素进行了研究,以建立离退休心理适应期的预测模型。结果表明,在给定的筛选自变量的F水平下,得方程(2):Y=-3.7641+1.6164X1+1.0092X3+1.7589X8+1.3149X11;简化方程:Y=-4+2X1+X3+2X8+X11,回代符合情况较好。本文还对预测模型的使用及其意义进行了讨论。

【Abstract】 Twelve psychosocial factors were investigated in 107 male retiree before retire ment with Apple-Ⅱ computer by stepwise multivariate regression analysis, and adopt a model of prediction of psychological adaptive period after retiring. Under the control of the given F level, a regression equation was established: Y=-3.7641+ 1.6164X1+1.0092X3+1.7589X8+1.3149X11, and it was simplified as Y=-4+2X1+X3+ 2X8+X11. The coincident rates are highter, the usage and significance of the model prediction were also discussed.

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