【摘要】 本文通过对丹江口水库综合利用任务的分析,运用随机规划与多目标规划的基本理论和方法,建立了考虑面临时径流预报下丹江口水库发电及向外流域供水(南水北调中线方案)的随机多目标动态规划模型,并分析了长期平稳运行特性。计算得出,该库发电及供水两目标的非劣转换关系及相应多年平稳运行规则集合,通过实测分析,验证了模型的有效性和可靠性。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the principle of Markov process and multiobjective programming, a stochastic multiobjective dynamic programming model considering faced runoff prediction is developed for the optimization of generation and water supply at Danjiangkou reservoir. The reservoir will be used for water supply of the south-north water transfer project (middle route). Furthermore, the properties of non-inferior stationary strategies are discussed. The efficient and the feasibility of the model have been proved by the analysis of simulation operation.更多还原