【摘要】 概述单井水位异常的计算机识别及其与地震关系的概率预测、多井综合预报地震两个系统的基本程式。单井以双桥井为例,多井以双桥、马17、浅牛6井为例,给出了这两个过程中的一些主要结果和反演、正演检验实例。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper briefly describes the basic formula of the probabilistic forecasting for the computer recognition on the water level anomaly of single well and its relation with earthquakes and of synthetic prediction of earthquakes of multiple wells. The single-well formula: data sampling, analysis on main disturbance factors, removement of disturbance factors, easy recognition on the water-level anomaly through computer, anomalous variation scanning, analysis on the corresponding relation between anomaly and earthquakes, causative probability statistics in time and place, correction of the causative probability forecasting on the location using the anomalous characteristic analogy and weighted methods, normal deduction and Inversion test. The multiple-well formula: composition of abnormal baroholes, acquisition of basic data, causative probability statistics in time and place, evaluation on the synthetic prediction capacitf for multiple wells.Taking Shuangqiao well and Shuangqiao, Mal7, Qiannin 6 wells as examples for single well and multiple wells respectively, some main results in both procedures and test examples for inversion and normal deduction are given.更多还原