【摘要】 本文从几个与能量场相关的物理因子场分析着手,力图找出环境能量场与北上进入黄、渤海地区的台风路径的对应关系。根据1971年—1982年的资料分析和1983年—1985年历史资料验证,以及1987年夏季实际预报检验,效果比较好。该方法与天气图形势分析预报法相比,直观性比较强,各物理因子的计算比较简单,便于在基层台站日常预报业务中使用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on ,the analysis of the field of physical factors associated with energy field, this paper attempts to search for the relationship between the ambient energy and the track of typhoons which move northward and ener the area of the Huanghai and Bohai Seas.The analysis of data from 1971 to 198,2 and the varification of data from 1983 to 1985,as wall as the practical prediction in the summer of 1987, manifest that this method is fairly reliable. As compared with the weather map analysis and prognostic method, it is more direct and simple, hence easy to use in basic weather stations for routine operation.更多还原