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母管式发电厂的随机生产模拟

Probabilistic production Simulation for Steam-Bus Generating Units

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【作者】 蒋本一; 郑德化;

【Author】 Jiang Benyi Zheng Dehua

【机构】 华北电力学院北京研究生部; 华北电力学院北京研究生部;

【摘要】 本文提出了用等效多状态机组法以及分段系数法对母管式发电机组进行随机生产模拟。此法将母管式发电机组等效成一台特殊的多状态机组,当母管式发电机组的运行方式发生变化时,用本文提出的方法可以得到较理想的模拟结果。另外,当母管式发电机组按照经济运行的要求分段带负荷时,用本文中的分段系数法也可以很容易地得到各分段中的停运状态容量及对应的概率。从而为母管式发电机组的随机生产模拟提供了途径。

【Abstract】 This.paper proposes a method called equivalent multistate unit block index method,which is of great use four steam-bus generating units in probabilistic production simulation.The method makes the steam—bus generating units a special equivalent multistate unit. when the operational mode of the steam-bus generating units is changed,a rather better simulating results can be obtained by using the proposed method.In addition,when the steam-bus generating units are divided into blocks according to an economic dispatch, the block index method can be also easily used to get each outage- state capacity and corresponding probability in blocks

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