【摘要】 本文应用邓聚龙教授1982年创立的“灰色系统理论”研究我国黑色金属矿山的职工死亡事故变化规律;提出了以事故递减率确定灰色平面的宏观控制思想,并建立了事故的长期预测模型。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this article,Professor Deng Julong’s“THEORY OF GRAY SYSTEMS”established in 1982,is applied to a study of the regular pattern of change in frequency of occurrance of death-incurring hazards in China’s ferrous mines.A concept of macrocontrol based on defining the gray plane via the rate of decrease in number of haards is proposed,and a longterm forecast model for the occurrance of hazards is established.更多还原