【摘要】 黄浦江是上海人民生活和生产的主要水源,咸水入侵会影响黄浦江水质,给上海带来很大的危害.本文在分析黄浦江咸水入侵规律的基础上,利用吴淞水厂1973～1979年的实测资料,选取枯季月瞬时最大氯化物值为因变量,运用多元逐步回归及相合非参数回归方法,建立了黄浦江口的氯化物预报公式,取得了比较满意的结果.更多还原

【Abstract】 Huangpu River is the main water source in Shanghai.The salt water intrusion has brought about severe consequence.Based on data derived from the measurements done by the Wusong Waterworks during the period from 1973 to 1979, the monthly maximum chloride values in the dry seasons were chosen as dependent variables.The chloride prediction formula for the mouth of Huangpu River was established with methods of stepwise regression and consistent nonparametric regression.The calculated results indicated that the prediction values were in good agreement with observations.更多还原