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珍珠港台风暴潮特征及其预报的初步研究

CHARACTERISTIC OF THE STORM SURGES IN PEARL HARBOUR AND PRELIMINARY RESEARCH OF ITS FORECAST

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【作者】 李树华

【Author】 Li Shuhua (Guangxi Institute of Oceanography)

【机构】 广西海洋研究所

【摘要】 本文根据珍珠港1969—1982年的验潮资料,利用差值法,求出每个台风增减水的过程曲线,分析了珍珍港台风暴潮特性和引起增减水的物理机制,采用经验的方法,建立了珍珠港台风暴潮的预报方程。对预报方程进行了检验,结果表明,预报精度基本满足实用要求。

【Abstract】 On the basis of the sea level records in the Pearl Harbour from 1969 to 1981, the process curve for each storm surge is calculated with the mothod of the sea level records minus tide prediction values. The characteristics of the storm surges and physical factors causing the storm surges are analysed for the Pearl Harbour. The forecasting formula of storm surges in the Pearl Harbour is given by the empirical mothod. The tests of the forecasting formula show that it has an accuracy needed for the practical use.

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