【摘要】 <正> 台风暴潮数值预报的困难在于:一、临时上机费时颇长,导致预报时效缩短。二、面临台风袭击而不备有计算机的沿海台站不能采用数值预报方法。如果用数值计算方法,将各种可能强度、路径的台风所引起的增水事先算出,编成诺模图,上述困难即可克服。本文称这种图为“数值预报诺模图”。一般地说,由于计算和编图的工作量大,更多还原

【Abstract】 We have established a Numerical prediction Method of typhoon surges.This method is based on nomographic charts which are derived from the results of numerical computations of typhoon surges beforehand.If the typhoon surges are still being computed when the prediction begins,it will not be able to predict in time.However,if the surges that caused by all possible typhoons have been computed and the results have been turned into nomographic charts beforehand,according to the charts,typhoon surges can be predicted in time.But,the quantity of these computations and charts arc so much that they can’t be finished actuallyIn this paper,the wind field and pressure field of typhoon are simplified.Therefore,the quantity of the computations and charts can be decreased greatly.Now,We have finished the computations and the charts.The comparisons between the observations of typhoon surges along the coast of Fujian and readings of the nomographic charts show that the readings are in fair agreement with the observations.更多还原