【摘要】 <正> 北太平洋副热带高压(以下简称副高)是强大的半永久性大气活动中心,是影响我国夏半年天气、气候的重要天气系统之一。运转大气这部热机的能量,主要来源于太阳辐射,下垫面是接受、储存大部份热量并以各种方式供给大气运动能量的储存器和调节器。在海洋中从热带向寒带输送热量主要是像黑潮这样强大的海流。自50年代以来,我国气象工作者就开始更多还原

【Abstract】 We have known that there exists a close correlation between the long-term variation of sea surface temperature (SST) patterns of the northern Pacific Ocean and the subtropical high pressure (SHP).In this paper we find that the variation of the Kuroshio strength is closely correlated with the long-term variation of SST patterns;both of them have the same variating period,but the latter phase lags behind the former.Based on this correlation we have established the forecast equation for strength of subtropical high pressure in summer using the volume transport of the G-line in the Kuroshio.The results of the hidcasts and the test-forecasts are found to be fairly good,which implies that the variation of the Kuroshio strength (represented by volume transport in winter) is a good predictor for the long-term forecast of subtropical high pressure.更多还原