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港口装卸机械需求量的估算和预报

Estimation and Forecast of Demand for Harbour Loading and Discharging Machinery

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【作者】 方祥麟蒋壁王天明

【Author】 Fang Xianglin Hang Bi (Dalian Marine College)Wang Tianming (Dalian Institute of Technology)Wang Zhongshan, et al(Dalian Harbour Administration)

【机构】 大连海运学院大连工学院

【摘要】 本文针对港口通过能力与装卸机械设备关系中的一个突出问题,即关于港口装卸机械需求量的估算和预报作了研究.利用大连港的部分统计数字建立了多元线性回归模型,并在CDC-CYBER—18型电子计算机上进行了数据处理.计算结果表明,采用这种模型制订港口装卸计划是可行的.

【Abstract】 In this paper, an investigation is made on the problem of estimation and forecast of the demamd for loading and discharging machinery, which is one of the key problems arising from the relationship between the harbour throughput and its facilities of loading and discharging.Part of the statistic data about Dalian Harbour has been processed on the computer CDC CYBER-18 and a multivariute linear regression model has been built.The computations have shown that it is feasible for a harbour to use this model to make plans of loading and discharging.

  • 【文献出处】 大连海运学院学报 ,Journal of Dalian Maritime University , 编辑部邮箱 ,1983年01期
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