【摘要】 本文是地震地质与历史、考古工作者相结合,运用多学科的方法,在分析西昌及附近地区挽近时期地质构造背景、历史地震活动规律和近代地震的活动性的基础上,提出未来十年内,在本区发生一次强震的可能性是存在的,值得注意;并指出安宁河断裂可能不是发震构造,而是控震构造;还指出研究历史地震应注意的问题。更多还原

【Abstract】 This article is a joint work by a seismo-geologist, a historian and an archaeologist. The authors adopt a multidisciplinary method, based on analysis of geological structure setting in late geological time, historical seismic activity law and the current seismicity, suggest that a possible strong earthquake might-occur in Xichang and its adiacent regions in coming 10 years and that Anninghe fault might not be the seismogenetic structure; also point attentive problem on study of historical earthquake更多还原