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从我国能源预测看核能的重要作用
THE IMPORTANT ROLE OF NUCLEAR ENERGY IN CHINA, ON THE BASIS OF THE FORECAST OF HER FUTURE ENERGY DEMANDS
【摘要】 本文对我国能源预測的初步結果表明,我国未来經济发展速度在相当程度上受到能源的制約。从能源资源的人平均儲量及其分布、能源运輸、能源利用效率、对环境的污染以及能源成本等几个方面看,在我国一定地区发展核能都是合理的与必要的。作者认为,核能在我国未来能源系統中的重要作用在于:一、作为缺能地区电力系統的基本負荷电站;二、作为巨大能源消費中心的清洁能源;三、作为增产石油与煤的气化液化的热源。本文还根据若干假設,对我国核能的中远期发展規模进行了初步預測。
【Abstract】 The future economic development of China will depend largely on the satisfactory solution of her energy problems, as shown by the preliminary results of the forecast of energy demands given in this article. The exploitatien of nuclear energy in certain regions of China seems well justified and indispensable, on the basis of considerations of the uneven distribution of her conventional energy resources, the transportation problem. the difference in the efficiency of energy conversion and utilization, tho pollution to the environments and the relative costs of energy production. There will be three categories in which the nuclear energy plays very important role, i. e., 1. to take the base load in the grids of the energydeficient regions; 2. to provide clean energy source in huge energy consumption centers; and 3. to supply the tremendous amount of heat for enhanced oil recovery, the production of oil from unconventional resources, as well as for coal gasification and liquefaction. An example of preliminary forecast of the development of nuclear energy in China is also given according to some reasonable assumptions.
- 【文献出处】 核科学与工程 ,Chinese Journal of Nuclear Science and Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,1981年01期
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