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一个制作长期天气预报的前后相关图解方法

A GRAPHICAL MONTH TO MONTH CORRELATION METHOD OF LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING

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【作者】 黄土松; 汤明敏; 党人庆;

【Author】 S.S.HWANG;M.M.TANG;J.C.DANG(Department of Meteorology,Nanking University)

【机构】 南京大学气象系; 南京大学气象系;

【摘要】 本文提出一个利用相关散布图制作长期天气预报的方法,试验结果指出准确率甚高.

【Abstract】 A method of Long-range weather forecasting based on month to month correlation of weatherelements is proposed.By this method,we can forecast a large number of monthly weather elementssuch as mean temperature,mean maximum temperature,mean minimum temperature,absolutemaximum temperature,absolute minimum temperature,total amount of precipitation,number ofrainy days,clear days,days of over-cast,amount of insolation and etc.,As this kind of forecastcan be worked out many months before,so not only one month,but also seasonal or even half-yearlong-range weather forecasting can be made.Besides,this method can be applied also to maketen-day forecasting.

  • 【文献出处】 气象学报 ,Acta Meteorologica Sinica , 编辑部邮箱 ,1959年04期
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