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运用上月各气象要素的特征来预告下月雨量——(沈阳夏季各月雨量作例)
A Proposed Method for the Monthly Rainfall Forecasting
【摘要】 <正> 一个地方下月的雨量,能不能从当地上月天气演变的结果所记录下来的各种气象要素的数值来推测呢?现在这篇报告的目的就想解答这个问题。关於这方面的研究,以前早有人注意,例如竺可桢教授研究过冬天温度与夏季雨量的关系,
【Abstract】 In this paper a statistical method is devised for the objectivemonthly rainfall forecasting.From the study of numerical associations be-tween rainfall of the present month and different meteorological elements ofthe previous month for the same station,we have arrived at a series ofcritical values which may be used as forecasting tools.The monthly rainfallat Mukden,chosen as an example,is forecasted by the combination of a set of21 critical values.The accuracy of forecast、exceeds 75%.
- 【文献出处】 气象学报 ,Acta Meteorologica Sinica , 编辑部邮箱 ,1953年01期
- 【被引频次】3
- 【下载频次】39