区域旅游产业发展潜力测评及显化机制研究：以陕西为例

【作者】 宋咏梅；

【导师】 孙根年；

【作者基本信息】 陕西师范大学 ， 旅游管理， 2013， 博士

【摘要】 随着我国旅游业的发展,各地方政府对旅游业的高度重视,区域之间旅游业的竞争日趋激烈。由于省级政府具有较大的行政管理与经济发展决策权,旅游业发展相关研究成果对省级决策者更具现实应用价值。然而,省域旅游业的发展,不仅需要关注旅游产业当前的发展情况,更要关注旅游产业潜在能力的积累。由此,探究省域旅游产业发展潜力的来源、构成,特别是旅游产业发展潜力如何积累并显化为现实层面的竞争力,就成为实践操作层面上亟待解决和深化的问题。本文在综合相关理论和现有文献的基础上,廓清了旅游产业发展潜力相关概念；在系统论的指导下,通过分析旅游产业发展潜力的构成,构建了包括旅游产业要素驱动力、旅游市场需求拉动力和旅游产业环境支撑力三个层面的区域旅游产业发展潜力DPS分析模型,由此建立区域旅游产业发展潜力测评模式。然后,利用2006-2011年相关数据,运用因子分析、聚类分析、回归分析等数理统计分析方法,对我国31个省级区域的旅游产业发展潜力进行综合测评和深入分析,厘清影响旅游产业发展潜力的主要因素,概括我国旅游产业发展潜力的分布格局,揭示各省区旅游业发展潜能和潜在优、劣势。接着,基于上述理论分析和定量测评结果,结合产业竞争力相关理论以及对旅游产业发展规律的探索,进一步探究区域旅游产业发展潜力显化成为竞争实力的动力系统及其作用机理,构建区域旅游产业发展潜力的显化机制。最后,以陕西为研究对象,在对其旅游产业发展潜力进行综合比较分析的基础上,以之前理论分析为指导,研究制定提升、显化陕西旅游产业发展潜力的对策。本文的主要结论如下：1.区域旅游产业发展潜力DPS分析模型由旅游产业要素驱动力、旅游市场需求拉动力和旅游产业环境支撑力三个层面构成；2.无论是旅游产业发展潜力三个层面的分解力,还是综合的旅游产业发展潜力,大体都呈现自东部向中、西部由高到低的梯次分布态势；3.影响省区旅游产业发展潜力的主要因素按影响程度由大到小分别为：经济社会支撑、旅游产业要素规模、旅游需求层次、旅游产业组织效率、服务环境、旅游需求规模、国内旅游需求增长力、入境旅游需求增长力、旅游专业人才储备、旅游产业结构、文化环境和生态环境；4.省区旅游产业竞争力的提升源于其产业发展潜力的提升与显化。旅游产业发展潜力显化的动力系统由内源动力和外源动力组成,系统的作用机理包括双源动力整合驱动和三维动力耦合驱动两种模式；基础、环境和路径三维度动力及其整合与协作,构成了旅游产业发展潜力三位一体的显化机制；5.陕西旅游产业发展潜力处于全国中下游,在旅游需求层次、服务环境支撑和经济社会支撑方面具有显著优势,在旅游需求规模和旅游需求增长力方面具有模糊优势,在旅游产业组织效率、旅游产业结构、文化环境支撑和生态环境支撑等方面具有显著劣势,而在旅游产业要素规模和专业人才储备方面具有模糊劣势；6.根据管理学中“8020”原理,产业组织效率、产业结构、文化环境支撑、产业要素规模和专业人才储备等为陕西旅游产业发展潜力提升与显化的关键因素,进行大旅游产业集群建设是陕西旅游产业发展潜力显化的必要策略。本文的创新之点包括：1.论文选题新颖,对中国省域,尤其是对陕西省的旅游产业发展潜力进行综合测评分析,具有一定的新意；2.研究方法多元交叉,运用合理。本研究涉及管理学、经济学、旅游学等学科理论,并涉及文化学、社会学、心理学等诸多领域,综合运用了多种研究方法,做到了理论探索与实践剖析相结合；3.论文在旅游产业发展潜力测评及显化理论方面进行了一定的探索,构建了区域旅游产业发展潜力DPS理论分析模型和三位一体的旅游产业发展潜力显化机制模型。本文研究成果丰富和发展了区域旅游学科基本理论,为我国和陕西省区域旅游发展潜力的提升与显化提供了理论依据与方法论基础,为陕西旅游业发展模式和路径选择提供了理论支持,对我国区域旅游业的可持续发展也具有积极作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the development of China’s Tourism Industry, which every locality pays much attention to, the competition has become even fierce. As the provincial government owns fairly strong power on administration and decision-making, tourism research the consequential result naturally effects the provincial decision-makers. However, the development province’s tourism industry should naturally not only benefits the province’s development of its economy, society and industry’s upgrades, but the harmonious sustainability with its environment and social culture as well. So, we should pay attention not only to the present tourism development power, but the accumulation of its potential power as well.Accordingly, it’s must from the perspective of practice to study the origins, formalities, especially the methods of the accumulation and accomplishment of the potentials into the practical competitiveness.As is shown in the following text, based on the summarization of the concerning theories, the concepts of tourism industry’s potentials were clarified, the author analyze the origins and the effecting factors of the potentials of the tourism industry development; instructed by the system theory, a DPS Theoretical Analytic Model of Tourism Development Potentials was formed, which is composed by Tourism Industrial Factors Motivating Potential, Tourism Market Demands Pulling Potential and Tourism Industry Environmental Supporting Potential, thus establishing an Assessment Model for regional tourism industry development potentials. Then, the necessary data of2006-2011was collected, the quantity statistic analysis methods of Factor Analysis, Accumulating Category Analysis and Returning Analysis Model were applied, the development potentials of China’s31provinces were assessed and studied, in order to make them clear the major factors that effect China’s tourism development potentials, and to describe its distribution situation, thus revealing the Tourism Development Potentials of different provinces and their strengths and weakness; based on the aforementioned theoretical analysis and quantity analysis results, integrated by the principles of industry competitiveness and tourism development, the driving system and its working principle of the accomplishment power of the potentials into the present competitiveness were studied, consequently forming an Accomplishment Solutions to the Regional Tourism Industry Development Potentials. Finally, taking Shaanxi Province as a case study, based on the comparison analysis, the upgrading and accomplishment solutions were worked out.The main points of the paper are as follows:1. The Development Potentials Theoritical Analysis Model of Regional Tourism Industry Development Potential is composed by Tourism Industry FactorsMotivating Potential, Tourism Market Demands Pulling Potential and Tourism Industry Environment Supporting Potential.2. Both the3levels and the comprehensive potentials, in China, the geographic distribution is the easterner, the higher, which reflects China’s economy and society development reality.3. The12main factors that effect the potential would be arrayed according to effecting power, as is the Economic and Social Supporting Potential, the Tourism Industry FactorsScale, the Tourism Demands Level, the Tourism Organizational Efficiency, Service Environment, Tourism Demands Scale, Domestic Demands Increasing Potential, Incoming Tourist Demands Increasing Potential, Tourist Experts Supply, Tourism Industry Structure, Cultural Environment and Ecology Environment.4. The upgrading of provincial tourism industry competitiveness derives from the upgrading and accomplishment of its industry competitive potential. The driving system of Accomplishment of Tourism Industry Development Potential consists of Interior Power and Outsourcing Power. The working system consists of Double Origin Engines Integration Model and Tri-dimension Engines Formulation Model, so, the basis, the environment and the solutions work together to form the Accomplishment Solutions to Tourism Industry Development Potential.5. Shaanxi’s Tourism Industry Development Potential is at the Middle and Lower reach in China, and has superior strength in Tourism Development Level, Service Environment Supports and Economic and Social Supports, somewhat strength in Tourism Development Scale and Tourism Development Increasing Power, however, it has significant weakness in.6. Tourism Industry Organizations Efficiency, Tourism Industry Structure, Cultural Environment Supports, Tourism Industry Factor Scale and Specialists Supply is the key to be upgraded to accomplish Shaanxi’s Tourism Industry Potential, and the establishment of the Great Tourism Industry Cluster is the approach to accomplish Shaanxi’s potential.The innovation points of the paper include:1. The selection of subject shows kind of novelty of the comprehensive assessment and analysis of the potentials of tourism industry development among the provinces in China, especially in Shaanxi;2. The multi-methods were reasonably and synthetically applied in the research, which involves management, economics, tourism studies, as well as culture, sociology and psychology, thus combining the theoretical exploration and practical analysis;3. Some exploration was made in the assessment of the potentials of tourism industry development and its realization theory, consequently founding a DPS theoretical analysis model of the potentials of the regional of tourism industry development and a trinity realization mechanism model of such potentials.Such achievements enrich and deepen the basic theory of regional tourism studies, thus providing a reliable principle and methodology for Shaanxi’s upgrading and accomplishment of its Regional Tourism Industry Development Potential, and theoritically supporting the decisions of the Development Model and solutions to Shaanxi’s tourism industry development, also providing an innovative and practical approach for the regional tourism decision-makers, thus bearing the reference value for China’s regional tourism industry sustainability.更多还原