【作者】 王威；

【导师】 刘洪钟；

【作者基本信息】 辽宁大学 ， 世界经济， 2011， 博士

【摘要】 经济收敛理论是20世纪90年代以来经济增长理论研究最为热门的论题之一。这个理论的核心,就在于考察不同经济体之间或一国内部不同地区之间经济增长速度的差异,寻找这种差异产生的原因。广大发展中国家渴望自身快速经济增长,早日成为发达国家。广义的东亚区域内,各经济体的经济发展程度存在着差异性；发展速度方面也存在着差异性,本地区相对落后经济体的增速要快于发达经济体。针对这种趋势,收敛理论可以给出合理的解释。因此,本文对东亚地区进行收敛研究,分析所选取的要素对经济增长以及收敛所起的作用并提出相应的政策建议。本文首先回顾了新古典经济增长理论以及收敛理论的发展脉络并进行评述。利用绝对收敛的概念证明广义东亚区域收敛现象的存在,指出这一结论可以作为进一步研究的基础。接下来利用条件收敛从新古典经济增长、开放条件下和制度分析三方面检验东亚地区收敛的具体表现：新古典经济增长体系下着重分析了储蓄率、人口增长率、资本以及人力资本对东亚国家和地区收敛以及经济增长的作用；开放条件下以开放度作为对外贸易代理变量,着重分析对外贸易对东亚国家和地区收敛和经济增长的作用；制度因素方面,着重分析经济自由度对东亚国家收敛以及经济增长的作用,经济自由度综合了若干个评估经济体自由程度的细化指标,其中包括：政府行政效率、法律和对产权的保护,对信贷、劳动和商业管制。通过实证分析证明：东亚国家和地区存在收敛的现象。但是各种因素对东亚地区的收敛速度有着不同的作用：投资以及对外贸易对本地区经济增长起到促进作用并且极大地促进了本地区的收敛速度；虽然人力资本对本地区经济增长有正面作用,但是其极大地放缓了本地区的收敛速度：制度因素对东亚地区的收敛则起到了阻碍的作用。根据分析可以得出这样的结论：广义的东亚地区经济增长十分倚重投资以及对外贸易,结构性问题还很明显；本地区相对落后经济体的人力资本以及政策法规是其追赶本地区发达经济体的主要障碍。根据以上结论,相应的政策建议为：东亚各经济体应加强经贸联系；各经济体,尤其是相对落后的经济体应该加强人力资本投资和建设；提高政府行政效率、完善法律环境并严格保护私有产权、对经济事务进行有效的管理。本文研究结论以及政策建议对发展中国家自身经济建设有一定的启示作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Economic convergence theory in the 20th century theory of economic growth since the 90s of one of the most popular topics. The core of this theory lies in the effects of different economies or between different regions within a country the difference between the rate of economic growth, to find the causes of this difference. Desire to own the majority of developing countries, rapid economic growth, to become developed countries. Broader East Asian region, the economies there are differences in degree of development; growth rate differences also exist, relatively backward economy of the region’s growth rate faster than developed economies. In response to this trend, the convergence theory can give a reasonable explanation. Therefore, this paper studies the convergence of the East Asian region, analysis of the selected elements of economic growth and the role of convergence and corresponding policy recommendations.This paper reviews the neoclassical growth theory and convergence theory development thread and make comments. Proof of concept using the absolute convergence of generalized the existence of convergence in East Asia, pointed out that this conclusion can serve as a basis for further research. Then use conditional convergence neoclassical economic growth, openness, and institutional analysis under the conditions of the three convergence tests of actual performance in East Asia: Under the new system focuses on classical economic growth of the savings rate, population growth, capital and human capital on the convergence of East Asian countries and the role of economic growth; open conditions for foreign trade openness as a proxy variable, analyzes the convergence of foreign trade and economic growth in East Asian countries, the role; system, a combination of factors analyzed the efficiency of government administration, law and the protection of property rights, of credit, labor and business regulation as factors of economic freedom on behalf of the convergence of East Asian countries and economic growth.The empirical analysis shows that:the East Asian countries, there is the phenomenon of convergence. But various factors on the convergence rate in East Asia has a different role:investment and foreign trade in the region play a role in promoting economic growth and contribute significantly to the convergence rate of the region; Although the human capital of the region’s economic growth has a positive effect, but greatly slowed down the convergence rate of the region; system factors on the convergence of the East Asian region has played a role in impeding. According to the analysis can draw this conclusion:the broad economic growth in East Asia relied heavily on investment and foreign trade, structural problems are still evident; relatively backward economies of the region’s human capital and its chase policies and regulations in the developed economies of the region major obstacle.Based on the above conclusions, the corresponding policy recommendations are:the East Asian economies should strengthen trade and economic links; the economy, especially in relatively backward economies should strengthen human capital investment and construction; improve administrative efficiency, improve the legal environment and strict protection of private property rights, on the effective management of economic affairs. In this paper, conclusions and policy recommendations on economic development in developing countries have a certain self-revelation.更多还原